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Index price + [(Days to expiration/ 365) x Interest rate x Index price)]
Note
The Index Price used in the Carry calculation in this methodology, for futures that settle at a different time than their underlying Cash Equity Index, will be a ‘Synthetic’ Index price. This ‘Synthetic’ price will be derived by taking the Lead month futures contract minus the Cash Index at the cash close to calculate a Basis. At the futures settlement time, the Lead Month settlement minus the Basis will equal the ‘Synthetic’ Index price. The Interest Rate component used in the Carry calculation in this methodology is derived by subtracting expected dividends from a normalized interest rate curve.
End of Month Fair Value Procedure
http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/equity-index/fairvaluefaq.html
Final Settlement
The Final Settlement Price shall be determined on the third Friday of the contract month or, if the Nasdaq-100 Index is not scheduled to be published for that day, on the first earlier day for which the Index is scheduled to be published.
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If a component stock in the index does not trade after 8:30 a.m. and before 3:00 p.m. on the day scheduled for determination of the Final Settlement Price while Nasdaq is open for trading, the price of that stock shall be determined, for the purposes of calculating the Final Settlement Price, based on the closing price of that stock on the preceding trading day. However, if the Exchange determines that there is a reasonable likelihood that trading in the stock shall occur shortly, the Exchange may instruct that the price of stock shall be based, for the purposes of calculating the Final Settlement Price, on the NOOP of the stock on the next day that it is traded on its primary market. Factors to be considered in determining whether trading in the stock is likely to occur shortly shall include the nature of the event and recent liquidity levels in the affected stock.
Additional Details
For information regarding the SOQ, please see the following links:
- Understand the SOQ
- Retrieving the SOQ on expiration day
- E-Mini Nasdaq-100 (NQ) futures are cash settled upon expiration. For additional details, please see the CBOT Rulebook (Chapter 359).
Normal BTIC Daily Settlement Procedure
Daily settlements of the E-mini S&P 500 (EST), E-mini Nasdaq-100 (NQT), E-mini Russell 2000 (RLT) and E-mini DJIA (YMT) BTIC futures are determined by CME Group staff based on trading and market activity on CME Globex, up to 1514:0045:00 Central Time (CT)
All Months
Tier 1: If If the lead month contract trades on Globex between 14:5915:30 00 and 1514:0045:00 CT, the settlement period, then the that contract month settles to the volume-weighted average price (VWAP) of the trade(s) during this period.
Tier 2: If If no trades occur on Globex between 14:5915:30 00 and 1514:0045:00 CT, then the contract settles to the last traded price validated against Low Bid/High Ask during the closing rangethe Globex bid/ask.
Tier 3: If If there are no trades then the contract settles to the net change of the preceding contract applied to the prior day settlement validated against Low Bid/High Ask during the closing rangethe Globex bid/ask.
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